[EDITORIAL] Niger Crisis And Its Effects On Nigeria If Military Intervene

On the 30th of july 2023 at an emergency meeting in Abuja, the capital state of Nigeria, the economic community of west African state [ECOWARS] chaired by president Bola Ahmed Tinubu demanded the immediate release and reinstatement of Niger’s elected president, Mohammed Bazoum.

He had been held by the military since 19th of july.
The regional bloc gave the military in Niger a week ultimatum to comply and warned that it would take all measures necessary including force to restore constitutional order.

On 28th of july, the head of Niger’s presidential guard, general Abdoura Hamane Tchiani declared himself the head of the state after military seized power.\

Despite the warning by the ecowas, the niger military government did not obey the instructions instead they insist that the coup d’etat will have a significant impact on peace and stability in Niger and Prior to this coup Niger has recently enjoy its longest democratic rule since independence, although there’s been a constant threat of coup.

The military government of Niger blamed the rising insecurity and low economic growth to the democratic government, they stated that the intervention was necessary to avoid the gradual and inevitable demise of the country.

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu who was the chairman of ecowas demand the use of force and military intervention on Niger republic which is a neighboring country to Nigeria, sharing boundary with seven[7] states of the country, Nigeria which are sokoto, kebbi, kastina, zamfara, jigawa, yobe and borno, therefore going to war will cause serious security issues in Nigeria.

If there’s military intervention from Nigeria to Niger republic, the life of Nigerians who shared borders with niger republic will be at stake. It’s expedient to know that war is not cheap and it consequences cannot be underestimated.

According to centre for promotion of private enterprise [CPPE] it is estimated that if Nigeria should resolve into military intervention, it could be damaging for Nigeria with yearly financial cost estimated at $2billion on military equipment acquisition.

Considering the current lean public revenue of the country and the current economic crises,near 100 percent debt service to revenue ratio and mounting indebtedness , CPPE balked at the country’s ability to absorb the cost and call for deeper introspection.

Nigeria which shouldered the cost of ECONOMIC COMMUNITY OF WEST AFRICA MONITORING GROUP [ecomog] at the peak of Liberian war reportedly lost $8billion to the crises and hundreds o f soldier. Also the country lost an estimated $4billion to sierra lone intervention.
Already the recent border closure of the seven states that share boundaries with niger republic is beginning to adversely impact the traders on both side of the divide and Nigeria often be the one at lost at every military intervention.

To avoid this huge effect on our economy,security, welfare, peace ecowas should find a way to negotiate and dialogue with the government in Niger republic.

One of the key mandate of ecowas is the promotion of economic integration among member states. military action among member states most especially Nigeria will negate this fundamental objective.

Nigeria should also know that we have our citizens in Niger republic as refugee and going to war is like we are killing our people with our own hands according UCHR 187,130 citizens of Nigeria are refugees in niger republic as of November 2022.

Therefore going to war will cause Nigeria more harm Negotiation and dialogue will be the best approach to this matter than military intervention because military intervention will have great effect on Nigeria who is facing internal crises such as subsidy removal, unhealthy health sector, unreformed educational system amongst others…[CONTINUE READING HERE]

This Editorial was written by:

ADEDAYO AYOMITAN
DEPARTMENT OF MASS COMMUNICATION
PRINCE ABUBAKAR AUDU UNIVERSITY, AYINGBA.